Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.017697 0.019666 0.021642 0.023771 0.025992 0.028238 0.030675
2025-03-30 0.013599 0.016668 0.019881 0.023466 0.027328 0.031340 0.035801
2025-04-06 0.011021 0.014654 0.018586 0.023089 0.028047 0.033290 0.039210
2025-04-13 0.008600 0.012502 0.016874 0.022012 0.027785 0.033987 0.041081
2025-04-20 0.007516 0.011740 0.016602 0.022424 0.029057 0.036261 0.044572
2025-04-27 0.006275 0.010656 0.015854 0.022203 0.029542 0.037598 0.046970
2025-05-04 0.005107 0.009540 0.014976 0.021754 0.029701 0.038515 0.048849
2025-05-11 0.004390 0.008928 0.014651 0.021907 0.030510 0.040126 0.051467
2025-05-18 0.003645 0.008198 0.014124 0.021775 0.030951 0.041289 0.053553
2025-05-25 0.002884 0.007353 0.013394 0.021349 0.031011 0.041987 0.055088
2025-06-01 0.002320 0.006723 0.012899 0.021177 0.031342 0.042973 0.056926
2025-06-08 0.001778 0.006044 0.012290 0.020829 0.031435 0.043661 0.058405
2025-06-15 0.001381 0.005582 0.012000 0.020938 0.032157 0.045173 0.060942
2025-06-22 0.000935 0.004933 0.011420 0.020670 0.032430 0.046184 0.062938
2025-06-29 0.000568 0.004301 0.010804 0.020313 0.032564 0.047004 0.064689
2025-07-06 0.000210 0.003430 0.009737 0.019300 0.031842 0.046780 0.065203
2025-07-13 0.000119 0.003238 0.009715 0.019687 0.032864 0.048624 0.068114
2025-07-20 0.000023 0.002819 0.009278 0.019480 0.033115 0.049531 0.069920
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002356 0.008711 0.019057 0.033072 0.050067 0.071274
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002138 0.008552 0.019201 0.033746 0.051464 0.073634
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001846 0.008219 0.019077 0.034060 0.052412 0.075456
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001495 0.007718 0.018677 0.033998 0.052889 0.076709
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001250 0.007388 0.018516 0.034236 0.053725 0.078380